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Russia and China Striking the United States where it hurts. Part 1
"Russia will also utilize the manpower of China as they make their thrust forward.
I realize, My child, that this message has a great emotional impact upon you. Do not be afeared." - Jesus, March 26, 1983From Asia Times Online Oct 19, 2006:
AMERICA'S ACUPUNCTURE POINTS
PART 1: Striking the US where it hurts
A noted Chinese theorist on modern
warfare, Chang Mengxiong, compared China's form of fighting to "a Chinese boxer
with a keen knowledge of vital body points who can bring an opponent to his
knees with a minimum of movements". It is like key acupuncture points in ancient
Chinese medicine. Puncture one vital point and the whole anatomy is affected. If
America ever goes to war with China, say, over Taiwan, then America should be
prepared for the following "acupuncture points" in its anatomy to be
"punctured". Each of the vital points can bring America to its knees with a
minimum of effort.
1.) Electro-magnetic
Pulse (EMP) attack
China and Russia are two potential US adversaries that
have the capability for this kind of attack. An EMP attack can either come from
an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), a submarine-launched ballistic
missile (SLBM), a long-range cruise missile, or an orbiting satellite armed with
a nuclear or non-nuclear EMP warhead. A nuclear burst of one (or more) megaton
some 400 kilometers over central United States (Omaha, Nebraska) can blanket the
whole continental US with electro-magnetic pulse in less than one second.
An EMP attack will damage all electrical grids on the US mainland. It will
disable computers and other similar electronic devices with microchips. Most
businesses and industries will shut down. The entire US economy will practically
grind to a halt. Satellites within line of sight of the EMP burst will also be
damaged, adversely affecting military command, control, communications,
computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR). Land-based
intercontinental ballistic missiles will be rendered unserviceable in their
silos. Anti-ballistic missile defenses will suffer the same fate. In short –
total blackout. And American society as we know it will be thrown back to the
Dark Ages.
Of course, the US may decide to strike first, but China and Russia now have the
means of striking back with submarine-launched ballistic missiles with the same
or even more devastating results. But knowing China's strategy of "active
defense", when war with the US becomes imminent, China will surely not allow
itself to be targeted first. It will seize the initiative as mandated by its
doctrine by striking first.
China has repeatedly announced that it will not be the first to use nuclear
weapons. But as an old Chinese saying goes: "There can never be too much
deception in war." If it means the survival of the whole Chinese nation that is
at stake, China will surely not allow a public statement to tie its hands and
prevent it from seizing the initiative. As another saying goes: "All is fair in
love and war."
2.) Cyber attack
America is the most advanced country in the world in the field of information
technology (IT). Practically all of its industries, manufacturing, business and
finance, telecommunications, key government services and defense establishment
rely heavily on computers and computer networks.
But this heavy dependence on computers is a double-edged sword. It has thrust
the US economy and defense establishment ahead of all other countries; but it
has also created an Achilles' heel that can potentially bring the superpower to
its knees with a few keystrokes on a dozen or so laptops.
China's new concept of a "people's war" includes IT warriors coming, not only
from its military more than 2-million strong, but from the general citizenry of
some 1.3 billion people. If we add the hackers and information warriors from
Russia, Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba, Syria and other countries
sympathetic to China, the cyber attack on the US would be formidable indeed.
So, if a major conflict erupts between China and America, more than a few dozen
laptops will be engaged to hack America's military establishment; banking
system; stock exchange; defense industries; telecommunication system; power
grids; water system; oil and gas pipeline system; air traffic and train traffic
control systems; C4ISR system, ballistic missile system, and other systems that
prop up the American way of life.
America, on the whole, has not adequately prepared itself for this kind of
attack. Neither has it prepared itself for a possible EMP attack. Such attacks
can bring a superpower like America to its knees with a minimum of movement.
3.) Interdiction of US foreign oil supply
America is now 75% dependent on foreign imported oil. About 23.5% of America's
imported oil supply comes from the Persian Gulf. To cut off this oil supply,
Iran can simply mine the Strait of Hormuz, using bottom-rising sea mines. It is
worthwhile to note that Iran has the world's fourth-largest inventory of sea
mines, after China, Russia and the US.
Combined with sea mines, Iran can also block the narrow strait with supersonic
cruise missiles such as Yakhonts, Moskits, Granits and Brahmos deployed on Abu
Musa Island and all along the rugged and mountainous coastline of Iran fronting
the Persian Gulf. This single action can bring America to its knees. Not only
America but Japan (which derives 90% of its oil supply) and Europe (which
derives about 60% of its oil supply from the Persian Gulf ) will be adversely
affected.
In the event of a major conflict involving superpower America and its allies
(primarily Japan and Britain) on the one hand and China and its allies
(primarily Russia and Iran) on the other, Iran's role will become strategically
crucial. Iran can totally stop the flow of oil coming from the Persian Gulf.
This is the main reason why China and Russia are carefully nurturing intimate
economic, cultural, political, diplomatic and military ties with Iran, which at
one time was condemned by US President George W Bush as belonging to that "axis
of evil", along with Iraq and North Korea.
This is also the reason why Iran is so brave in daring the US to attack it on
the nuclear proliferation issue. Iran knows that it has the power to hurt the
US. Without oil from the Gulf, the war machines of the US and its principal
allies will literally run out of gas.
A single blow from Iran or China or Russia, or a combination of the three at the
Strait of Hormuz can paralyze America. In addition, Chinese and Russian
submarines can stop the flow of oil to the US and Japan by interdicting oil
tanker traffic coming from the Middle East, Africa and Latin America. On the
other hand, US naval supremacy will have minimal effect on China's oil supply
because it is already connected to Kazakhstan with a pipeline and will soon be
connected to Russia and Iran as well.
One wonders: what will be the price of oil if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz.
It will surely drive oil prices sky high. Prolonged high oil prices can, in
turn, trigger inflation in the US and a sharp decline of the dollar, possibly
even a dollar free-fall. The collapse of the dollar will have a serious impact
on the entire US economy.
This brings us to the next "acupuncture point" in the US anatomy: dollar
vulnerability.
4.) Attack on the US dollar
One of the pillars propping up US superpower status and worldwide economic
dominance is the dollar being accepted as the predominant reserve currency.
Central banks of various countries have to stock up dollar reserves because they
can only buy their oil requirements and other major commodities in US dollars.
This US economic strength, however, is a double-edged sword and can turn out to
be America's economic Achilles' heel. A run of the US dollar, for instance,
which would cause a dollar free-fall, can bring the entire US economy toppling
down.
What is frightening for the US is the fact that China, Russia and Iran possess
the power to cause a run on the US dollar and force its collapse.
China is now the biggest holder of foreign exchange reserves in the world,
accumulating $941 billion as of June 30 and expected to exceed a trillion
dollars by the end of 2006 - a first in world history. A decision by China to
shift a major portion of its reserve to the euro or the yen or gold could
trigger other central banks to follow suit. Nobody would want to be left behind
holding a bagfull of dollars rapidly turning worthless. The herd psychology
would be very difficult to control in this case because national economic
survival would be at stake.
This global herd psychology motivated by the survival instinct will be strongly
reinforced by the latent anger of many countries in the Middle East, Eurasia,
Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America that silently abhor the pugnacious
arrogance displayed by the lone Superpower in the exercise of its unilateral and
militaristic foreign policies. They will just be too happy to dump the dollar
and watch the lone Superpower squirm and collapse.
The danger of the dollar collapsing is reinforced by the mounting US current
account deficit, which sky-rocketed to $900 billion at an annual rate in the
fourth quarter of 2005. This figure is 7% of US gross domestic product (GDP),
the largest in US history. The current account deficit reflects the imbalance of
US imports to its exports. The large imbalance shows that the US economy is
losing its competitiveness, with US jobs and incomes suffering as a result.
These record deficits in external trade and current accounts mean that the US
has to borrow from foreign lenders (mostly Japan and China) $900 billion
annually or nearly $2.5 billion every single day to finance the gap between
payments and receipts from the rest of the world. In financial year 2005, $352
billion was spent on interest payment of national debt alone - a national debt
that has ballooned to $8.5 trillion as of August 24.
The International Monetary Fund has warned: "The US is on course to increase its
net external liabilities to around 40% of its GDP within the next few years - an
unprecedented level of external debt for a large industrial country."
The picture of the US federal budget deficit is equally grim. Dennis Cauchon,
writing for USA Today said:
The federal government keeps two sets of books. The set the government promotes to the public has a healthier bottom line: a $318 billion deficit in 2005. The set the government doesn't talk about is the audited financial statement produced by the government's accountants following standard accounting rules. It reports a more ominous financial picture: a $760 billion deficit for 2005. If social security and medicare were included - as the board that sets accounting rules is considering - the federal deficit would have been $3.5 trillion. Congress has written its own accounting rules - which would be illegal for a corporation to use because they ignore important costs such as the growing expense of retirement benefits for civil servants and military personnel. Last year, the audited statement produced by the accountants said the government ran a deficit equal to $6,700 for every American household. The number given to the public put the deficit at $2,800 per household ... The audited financial statement - prepared by the Treasury Department - reveals a federal government in far worse financial shape than official budget reports indicate, a USA Today analysis found. The government has run a deficit of $2.9 trillion since 1997, according to the audited number. The official deficit since then is just $729 billion. The difference is equal to an entire year's worth of federal spending.
The huge US current account and trade deficits, the mounting external debt
and the ever-increasing federal budget deficits are clear signs of an economy on
the edge. They have dragged the dollar to the brink of the precipice. Such a
state of economic affairs cannot be sustained for long, and the stability of the
dollar is put in grave danger. One push and the dollar will plunge into
free-fall. And that push can come from China, Russia or Iran, whom superpower
America has been pushing and bullying all along.
We have seen what China can do. How can Russia or Iran, in turn, cause a dollar
downfall? On September 2, 2003, Russia and Saudi Arabia signed an agreement on
oil and gas cooperation. Russia and Saudi Arabia have agreed "to exercise joint
control over the dynamics of prices for raw materials on foreign markets". The
two biggest oil and gas producers, in cooperation, say, with Iran, could control
oil production and sales to keep the price of oil relatively high. Sustained
high oil prices, in turn, could trigger a high inflation rate in the US and put
extreme pressure on the already weak dollar to trigger a more rapid decline.
Russia is now the world's biggest energy supplier, surpassing Saudi Arabia in
energy exports measured in barrel oil equivalent or boe (13.3 million boe per
day for Russia vs 10 million boe per day for Saudi Arabia). Russia has the
biggest gas reserves in the world. Iran, on the other hand, runs second in the
world to Russia in gas reserves, and also ranks among the top oil producers. If
and when either Russia or Iran, or both, shift away from a rapidly declining
dollar in energy transactions, many oil producers will follow suit. These
include Venezuela, Indonesia, Norway, Sudan, Nigeria and the Central Asian
Republics.
There is a good chance that even Saudi Arabia and the other oil-exporting
countries in the Middle East may follow suit. They wouldn't want to be left with
fast-shrinking dollars when the shift from petro-dollar to euro-dollar occurs.
Again, the herd psychology will come into play, and the US will eventually be
left with a dollar that is practically worthless. Considering the strong
anti-American sentiments in the world caused by American unilateralism,
especially in the Middle East, a concerted effort to dump the dollar in favor of
the euro becomes even more plausible.
When the dollar was removed from the gold standard in August 1971, the dollar
gained its strength through its use as the currency of choice in oil
transactions. Once the dollar is rejected in favor of the euro or another
currency for global oil transactions, the dollar will rapidly lose its value and
central banks all over the world will be racing to diversify to other
currencies. The shift from petro-dollar to petro-euro will have a devastating
effect on the dollar. It could cause the dollar to collapse; and the whole US
economy crushing down with it - a scene reminiscent of the collapse of the Twin
Towers on September 11, 2001. But this one will be a thousand times more
devastating.
A successful assault on the US dollar will make America crawl on its knees with
a minimum of movements. And this assault can come from China, Russia or Iran -
or a combination of the three - if they ever decide that they have had enough of
US bullying.
5.) Diplomatic isolation
In 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed from its own weight, the US emerged as
the sole superpower in the world. At that crucial period, it would have been a
great opportunity for the US to establish its global leadership and dominance
worldwide. With the world's biggest economy, its control of international
financial institutions, its huge lead in science and technology (specially
information technology) and its unequaled military might, America could have
seized the moment to establish a truly American Century.
But in the critical years after 1991, America had to make a choice between two
divergent approaches to the use of its almost unlimited power: soft power or
hard power. The exercise of soft power would have seen America leading the world
in the fight against poverty, disease, drugs, environmental degradation, global
warming and other ills plaguing humankind.
It would have pushed America in leading the move to address the debt burden of
poor, undeveloped or developing countries; promoting distance learning in remote
rural areas to empower the poor economically by providing them access to quality
education; and helped poor countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America build
highways, railways, ports, airports, hospitals, schools and telecommunication
systems.
Unfortunately, such was not to be. If there was any effort at the exercise of
soft power at all, it was minimal. In fact, it is not America which is
practicing soft power in diplomacy but a rising power in the East - China. China
has been busy in the past decade or so exercising soft power in almost all
countries in Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia and
the Middle East, winning most of the countries in these regions to its side.
Through the use of soft power, China has created a de facto global united front
under its silent, low-key leadership.
The US, on the other hand, decided to employ mainly hard power in the exercise
of its global power. It adapted the policy of unilateralism and militarism in
its foreign policy. It discarded the United Nations and even the advice of close
allies. It unilaterally discarded signed international treaties (such as the
Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty). It adapted the policy of regime change and
preventive war. It led the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in the 78-day
bombing of Serbia purportedly for "humanitarian" reasons. It invaded Afghanistan
and Iraq without UN sanctions and against the advice of key European allies like
France and Germany.
The US-led war in Iraq was a tactical victory for the US initially, but has
resulted in strategic defeat overall. The Iraq war caused the US to lose its
principal allies in Europe and be isolated, despised and hated in many parts of
the world. Without too many friends and allies, the US is likened to an "emperor
with no clothes".
So in a major conflict between America and China, isolated America cannot
possibly win against a global united front led by China and Russia.
This brings us to the question of alliances, another "acupuncture point" in the
anatomy of the superpower, which will be addressed in the second part of this
report.
Russia and China Striking the United States with the Assassin's Mace. Part 2
"Russia will also utilize the manpower of China as they make their thrust forward.
I realize, My child, that this message has a great emotional impact upon you. Do not be afeared." - Jesus, March 26, 1983If America ever goes to war with China, Chinese military doctrine suggests the US should expect attacks on a number of key points where it is particularly vulnerable - where a single jab would paralyze the entire nation. China would aim at targets such as the US electricity grid, its computer networks, its oil supply routes, and the dollar. Other vital "acupuncture" points are outlined below.
1.) A powerful triumvirate
No one ever imagined before 1991 that China and Russia
would come together to form a close-knit alliance politically, diplomatically
and, most important of all, militarily. For more than three decades before the
break-up of the Soviet Union, China and the USSR had been bitter rivals, even
going into a shooting war with each other along their common border.
But now the picture has changed completely. China and Russia have embraced one
another and help each other ward off the military advances of the lone
superpower in their respective backyards. In fact, it was a series of strategic
blunders by the superpower that forced China and Russia into each other's arms.
How so?
When the Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991, it would have been the best time
for the US to use soft power to win over Russia into the Western fold. Russia at
that time was an economic basket case, with the price of oil at $9 per barrel.
But the promises of economic assistance from the US and Europe proved empty, and
the Russian oligarchs were the main beneficiaries of relations with the Western
powers.
NATO and EU then slowly advanced eastward, absorbing many of the countries
making up the former Warsaw Pact alliance. Serbia, a close ally of Russia, was
subjected to 78 days of continuous air bombardment. Regime changes were
instigated by US and Western-financed non-governmental organizations in Georgia,
Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan - all former Soviet republics and considered Russia’s
backyard - giving Russia a feeling of strategic encirclement by the US and its
allies. There was also the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq, followed by the
establishment of US bases and deployment of troops in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.
These aggressive geopolitical moves by the US pushed Russia into the waiting
arms of China, which badly needed Russian energy resources, modern weapon
systems and military technology as a consequence of the US-led arms embargo
imposed after the Tienanmen incident. Furthermore, China also needed a reliable
and militarily capable ally in Russia because of the perceived threat of the US.
Reinforcing this Chinese perception was the outrageously wanton bombing of the
Chinese Embassy in Belgrade by US-led NATO forces in 1999; the spy plane
incident in 2001; the unilateral withdrawal of the US from the ABM Treaty in
2002; the enhanced military cooperation between the US and Japan; the inclusion
of Taiwan in the Theater Missile Defense program.; the setting up of a military
base in Kyrgyzstan which is only some 250 miles from the Chinese border near Lop
Nor, China’s nuclear testing ground.
Add to that the announcement of President George W Bush that the US would come
to the aid of Taiwan in the event that China uses force against it; the sending
of two aircraft carrier battle groups to waters near Taiwan in 1995-1996; and
the naval show of strength of seven aircraft carrier battle groups converging
off the China coast in August 2004. All these aggressive moves by superpower
America pushed China to embrace its former bitter rival, Russia.
Both China and Russia needed a secure and reliable rear; and both are ideally
positioned to provide it. Moreover, their strengths ideally complement each
other. It must be borne in mind that both are nuclear powers. The abundant
energy resources of Russia ensures that China will not run out of gas in a major
conflict - a strategic advantage over the US and its key allies.
Russia is also supplying China with many of the modern armaments and military
technology it needs to modernize its defense sector. This effectively militates
against the arms embargo imposed by the US and the EU on China. Russia in turn
needs the increased trade with China, China’s financial clout and assistance,
and manufactured goods.
The coming together of China and Russia was one of the most earth-shaking
geopolitical events of modern times. Yet hardly anyone noticed the transition
from bitter enemity to a solid geopolitical, economic, diplomatic and military
alliance. The combined strengths of the two regional powers surely surpass that
of the former Warsaw Pact. If we add Iran to the equation, we have a triumvirate
that can pose a formidable challenge to the lone superpower. Iran is the most
industrialized and the most populous nation in the Middle East. It is second
only to Russia in terms of gas resources and also one of the largest oil
producers in the world. It is also one of the most mountainous countries in the
world, which makes it ideal for the conduct of asymmetric and guerrilla warfare
against a superior adversary.
Iran borders both the Persian Gulf and the Caspian Sea, two of the richest oil
and gas regions of the world. Most importantly, it controls the gateway to the
Persian Gulf - the Strait of Hormuz. Modern bottom-rising, rocket propelled sea
mines and supersonic cruise missiles deployed along the long mountainous
coastline of Iran, manned by "invisible" guerrillas, could indefinitely stop the
flow of oil from the Gulf, from which the US gets 23% of its imported oil.
Japan also derives 90% of its oil from the Persian Gulf area, and Europe about
60%. In a major conflict, Iran can effectively deprive the US war machine and
those of its key allies of much needed energy supplies.
Imagine the war machine of the superpower running out of gas. Imagine also a US
economy minus 23% of its imported oil. This 23% can rise considerably once
Chinese and Russian submarines start sinking US-bound oil tankers. The
triumvirate of China, Russia, and Iran could bring the US to its knees with a
minimum of movement.
2.) The US's geopolitical disadvantage
Another "acupuncture point" in America’s anatomy in the
event of a major conflict with China (and Russia) is its inherent disadvantage
dictated by geography. Being the lone superpower, any major conventional
conflict involving the US will necessitate its bringing its forces to bear on
its adversaries. This means that the US must cross the Pacific, Indian, and/or
Atlantic Oceans in order to bring logistics or troop reinforcements to the
battlefield.
In so doing, the US will be crossing thousands of miles of sea lanes of
communication (SLOC) that can easily become a gauntlet of deadly Chinese and
Russian submarines lying in ambush with bottom-rising sea mines, supercavitating
rocket torpedoes, and supersonic cruise missiles that even aircraft carrier
battle groups have no known defense against. Logistic and transport ships and
oil tankers are particularly vulnerable.
The air corridors above these sea lanes will also be put at great risk by
advanced air defense systems aboard Sovremenny destroyers or similar types of
warships in Chinese and Russian inventories. In short, the US will be forced by
geography to suffer all the disadvantages of conducting offensive operations
against adversaries in Eurasia.
Of course, the US has "forces in being" and "logistics in place" in numerous
military bases scattered around the world, especially those strategically
encircling China, Russia, and Iran. But when the shooting war starts, these
bases will be the first to be hit by barrages of short- and medium-range
ballistic missiles and long-range land-attack cruise missiles armed with
electro-magnetic pulse, anti-radar, thermobaric, and conventional warheads.
Following the missile barrages, the remnants of such weakened US military bases
will easily be overwhelmed by blitzkrieg assaults from Russian and Chinese
armored divisions in the Eurasian mainland. China, for instance, has four large
armored units constantly on standby, poised to cross the Yili Corridor in
Xinjiang province at a moment’s notice. The US base in Kyrgyzstan near the
Chinese border would not stand a chance.
China, Russia and/or Iran, on the other hand, will operate on interior lines
within the Eurasian mainland. When they move troops and logistics to meet any
threat on the continent, they will have relatively secure lines of communication
and logistics, using inland highways, railways and air transport.
Since the US cannot correct the dictates of geography, it and its main allies
Japan and the UK will have to live and fight with this tremendous geopolitical
disadvantage. Of course the US can bypass this geographic obstacle if it attacks
China and Russia with its intercontinental ballistic missiles, sea-launched
ballistic missiles and strategic bombers in a nuclear first strike, but China
and Russia have the means to retaliate and obliterate the United States and its
allies as well.
There are some among the leading neo-conservatives in the US who believe that a
nuclear war is winnable; that there is no such thing as mutually assured
destruction (MAD). Well, that truly mad way of thinking may well spell the end
of planet earth for all of us.
3.) Asymmetric attack
Superpower America is particularly vulnerable to asymmetric attack. A classic
example of asymmetric attack is the September 11, 2001, attack on America.
Nineteen determined attackers, armed with nothing but box cutters, succeeded in
toppling the twin towers of the World Trade Center in New York City and causing
the death of some 3,000 Americans. Notice the asymmetry of casualty ratio as
well - the most lopsided casualty ratio ever recorded in history.
China, Russia, and Iran also possess asymmetric weapons that are designed to
neutralize and defeat a superpower like America in a conventional conflict.
Supersonic cruise missiles now in their inventories can defeat and sink US
aircraft carriers. The same is true for medium- and short-range ballistic
missiles with independently targetable warheads, extra-large bottom-rising,
rocket-propelled sea mines (EM52s), and supercavitating rocket torpedoes (SHKVAL
or "Squall"). The US Navy has no known defense against these weapons.
Iraqi insurgents are conducting a form of asymmetric warfare. They use
improvised explosive devices, car bombs, booby traps and landmines against the
most modern army the world has ever seen. The US's huge advantage in weaponry is
negated by the fact that its soldiers cannot see their adversary. They are
fighting against a "phantom" enemy - an invisible army.
And how can you win against an enemy you cannot see? This may be one reason why
reports of massacres of Iraqi civilians by US soldiers have been increasing
lately. But turning sophisticated weapons against civilians will never win wars
for America. It will only heighten the rage of the victimized population and
increase suicide bombings against US forces.
Connected to asymmetric warfare is asynchronous warfare, where the weaker side
bides its time to strike back. And it strikes at a time and place where the
adversary is totally unprepared.
For example, if the US were to strike Iran’s underground nuclear facilities with
bunker-busting tactical nuclear warheads, Iran could bide its time until it
develops its own nuclear weapons. It could then use its Kilo class submarines,
equipped with supersonic "moskit" cruise missiles armed with Iran’s own nuclear
warheads, to hit New York, or Washington, DC as a payback to the US for using
nuclear weapons against Iran. Or the Iranians could infiltrate nuclear
scientists into the US, where they would fabricate a "dirty" bomb to be
detonated near the US Congress, in full session while the president is making
his annual state of the nation address.
The possibilities for asymmetric and asynchronous warfare are limitless. Various
weapons are available to the asymmetric or asynchronous attacker. If a simple
box cutter produced such devastating results on September 11, 2001, imagine what
chemical or biological weapons dropped from a private aircraft could do to a
crowded city; or trained hackers attacking the US banking system and other key
infrastructure and basic services; or man-portable surface-to-air missiles
attacking US airlines taking off or landing in various airports around the
globe; or non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse weapons hitting New York City or the
US Capitol. No amount of even the best intelligence in the world can totally
guard against and stop a determined asymmetric attacker.
4.) Attack on US's command and control
C4ISR stands for command, control, communications, computers, intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance. In a war situation, C4ISR is a prime target
because therein lies the center of gravity of one's adversary. Neutralizing
C4ISR is like cutting off the head of a chicken. It can run around in circles
for a while, but will soon collapse and die. The same is true in warfare.
Having the mightiest and most modern armed forces in the world, America prides
itself with having the most sophisticated and advanced C4ISR. US military spy
satellites can gather intelligence data and disseminate it on a real time basis.
US surveillance and reconnaissance satellites are so sophisticated that their
sensors can detect objects on Earth as small as one-tenth of a meter in size,
from several hundred miles up. Satellite sensors can also penetrate clouds and
bad weather or see in the night. Some of these spy satellites can also monitor
radio or telephone conversations.
Aside from communications, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance,
satellites are also used for navigation, most especially in guiding ballistic
missiles, cruise missiles, aircraft and other smart weapon systems to their
targets. Without satellite guidance, such "smart" and precision weapons turn
into "dumb" bombs and directionless missiles.
The advances in C4ISR are rapidly revolutionizing warfare. Gathering,
processing, disseminating, and acting on intelligence is now made possible on a
real-time or near real-time basis on a global or regional level. Because of
these developments, a new war principle is emerging in the modern battlefield:
"If the enemy sees you; you are dead."
The US is far advanced in its C4ISR compared with, for instance, China. China
cannot hope to catch up and match the American system anytime soon. So in order
for China to survive in the event of a major conflict with the US, China has to
resort to asymmetric means. This means that China has to develop effective means
of countering and neutralizing America’s C4ISR. And that is what China had been
working on for more than two decades now.
The heart of America’s C4ISR lies in its technologically sophisticated
satellites. But this seeming strength is also an Achilles' heel. Neutralize or
destroy the key satellites, and America’s major forces, such as aircraft carrier
battle groups, are blinded, muted, and decapitated. This concept is part of
China’s strategy for "defeating a superior with an inferior" called
shashaojian, or "assassin’s mace". It is like the mace kept by ladies in
their bags, which they use when attacked by a mugger or rapist. They squirt the
mace into the eyes of an attacker to temporarily blind him, giving the intended
victim time to escape.
China now has the capability to identify and track satellites. And for more than
two decades they have been busy developing anti-satellite weapons. China has
been developing maneuverable nano-satellites that can neutralize other
satellites. They do their work by maneuvering near a target satellite and
neutralizing the target by electronic jamming, electro-magnetic pulse
generation, clinging to the target and physically destroying it, bumping the
target out of orbit, or simply exploding to bring the target satellite down with
it. Such nano satellites can be launched in batches on demand by road-mobile
DF21 or DF31 booster rockets.
Another anti-satellite weapon in the works is a land-based laser that blinds the
sensitive sensors of satellites or even destroys them completely. Of course, if
worse comes to worst, China can always use its weapon of last resort, destroying
adversary satellites with a high-altitude nuclear burst. But this will only be
used if China has not yet fully developed the other options when major
hostilities start. With the neutralization of its C4ISR, America would be like
"a blind man trying to catch fish with his bare hands", to quote Mao Zedong. In
short, America would be brought to its knees.
5.) Attack on US aircraft carrier battle groups
Aircraft carrier battle groups are the mainstay of US military supremacy. They
serve as America’s chief instrument for global power projection and world
dominance. In this category, the US has no equal. At the moment, the US
maintains a total of 12 aircraft carrier battle groups. In comparison, China has
none.
From June to August 2004, the US, for the first time in its naval history,
conducted an exercise involving the simultaneous convergence of seven of its 12
aircraft carrier battle groups to within striking distance of China’s coast.
This was the biggest and most massive show of force the world has ever seen. It
was to remind China that if it uses force against Taiwan, China will have to
contend with this kind of response.
It was mentioned earlier that China’s strategy in defeating the superior by the
inferior is shashaojian or the "assassin’s mace". "Mace" is not only a
blinding spray; it is also a meaner and deadlier weapon, a spiked war club of
ancient times used to knock out an adversary with one blow. The spikes of the
modern Chinese mace may well spell the end for aircraft carriers.
The first of these spikes consists of medium- and short-range ballistic missiles
(modified and improved DF 21s/CSS-5 and DF 15s) with terminally guided
maneuverable re-entry vehicles with circular error probability of 10 meters. DF
21s/CSS-5s can hit slow-moving targets at sea up to 2,500km away.
The second spike is an array of supersonic and highly accurate cruise missiles,
some with range of 300km or more, that can be delivered by submarines, aircraft,
surface ships or even common trucks (which are ideal for use in terrain like
that of Iran along the Persian Gulf). These supersonic cruise missiles travel at
more than twice the speed of sound (mach 2.5), or faster than a rifle bullet.
They can be armed with conventional, anti-radiation, thermobaric, or
electro-magnetic pulse warheads, or even nuclear warheads if need be. The Aegis
missile defense system and the Phalanx Close-in Defense weapons of the US Navy
are ineffective against these supersonic cruise missiles.
A barrage of these cruise missiles, followed by land-based intermediate- or
short-range ballistic missiles with terminal guidance systems, could wreak havoc
on an aircraft carrier battle group. Whether there are seven or 15 carrier
battle groups, it will not matter, for China has enough ballistic and cruise
missiles to destroy them all. Unfortunately for the US and British navies, they
do not have the capacity to counter a barrage of supersonic cruise missile
followed by a second barrage of ballistic missiles.
The first and second spikes of the "assassin’s mace" are sufficient to render
the aircraft carrier battle groups obsolete. But there is a third spike which is
equally dreadful. This is the deadly SHKVAL or "Squall" rocket torpedo developed
by Russia and passed on to China. It is like an under-water missile. It weighs
6,000lbs and travels at 200 knots or 230mph, with a range of 7,500 yards. It is
guided by autopilot and with its high speed, makes evasive maneuvers by carriers
or nuclear submarines highly difficult. It is truly a submarine and carrier
buster; and again, the US and its allies have no known defense against such a
supercavitating rocket torpedo.
The "assassin’s mace" has still more spikes. The fourth spike consists of
extra-large, bottom-rising, rocket-propelled sea mines laid by submarines along
the projected paths of advancing carrier battle groups. These sea mines are
designed specifically for targeting aircraft carriers. They can be grouped in
clusters so that they will hit the carriers in barrages.
The final spike of the mace is a fleet of old fighter aircraft (China has
thousands of them) modified as unmanned combat aerial vehicles fitted with extra
fuel tanks and armed with stand-off anti-ship missiles. They are also packed
with high explosives so that after firing off their precision-guided anti-ship
missiles on the battle group, they will then finish their mission by
dive-bombing "kamikaze" style into their targets.
If we now combine the mace as a means of blinding an adversary and the mace as a
spiked war club, one can see the complete picture of how China will use the
"assassin’s mace" to send America’s aircraft carrier battle groups into the
dustbin of naval history. Although China does not possess a single operational
aircraft carrier, it has converted the entire China mainland into a "virtual
aircraft carrier" that is unsinkable and capable of destroying all the aircraft
carrier battle groups that the US and its allies can muster.
The sad part for the US Navy is that even if American leaders and naval
theorists realize the horrible truth that aircraft carriers have been rendered
obsolete in modern warfare by China’s "assassin’s mace", the navy cannot just
change strategy or discard its carriers. Hundreds of billions of dollars have
been poured into those weapon systems and hundreds of thousands of jobs would be
affected if such behemoths are turned into scrap. Besides, even if US Navy
authorities wanted to change strategy, the all-powerful and influential
military-industrial complex lobby would not allow it.
So, if and when a major conflict between the US and China occurs, say over the
issue of Taiwan, pity those thousands of American sailors who are unfortunate
enough to be in one of those aircraft carrier battle groups. They won't stand a
chance.
A challenge to America
The 10 "acupuncture points" mentioned in this article (See also Part 1: Striking
the US where it hurts) are like a 10-stage riddle. It is an "assassin's mace" or
war club of olden times with 10 deadly spikes. Any one of those spikes can bring
America to its knees. I therefore throw this riddle to the think tanks in the
Pentagon, to the US Congress, to the president's men, to US academe, and to
every concerned American.
America is in the last two minutes of the fourth quarter of the "great game",
and it is behind in points. If America can solve the riddle in time, it wins the
game, it can seize global leadership, and the 21st century will truly be the
American Century.
On the other hand, failure to solve the riddle will shake America to its very
foundation and cause this great nation to collapse - just like that vivid image
of the collapsing Twin Towers familiar to each and every American. America
loses, and it will be down and out for the rest of this century.
Wake up, America!
Our Lady of
the Roses awesome Bayside Prophecies...
http://www.tldm.org/../Bayside/
These prophecies came from Jesus, Mary, and the saints to Veronica
Lueken at Bayside, NY, from 1968 to 1995.
RUSSIA & CHINA
"Wars are a punishment for
man's sins. Syria holds the key to peace at this time. However, I place in front
of you, My children, a graphic picture for you to understand. It will be a
parable for some, and some will turn away not willing to hear what Heaven has to
say in these desperate times."
Veronica-Our Lady is pointing up with Her finger, like this, to Her right
side, and high above Her the sky is opening up-all the clouds are floating away
and the sky is opening up, and I see a map of the Mideast. And then Our Lady is
pointing up farther and that's another map of China and Russia. Our Lady is
turning back now; She was looking upward also.
Our Lady-"My child and My children, there are scoffers who will say there
shall not be a Third World War. They do not know and cannot conceive of the plan
of the Eternal Father. Be it known now that the Father has great heart for all
His children, but when the sin reaches a peak only known to the Father, the
amount of sin among mankind, then the Father will take action. He will allow you
to go upon your reprobate way until there will be few souls to save upon earth,
for the others will have died in battle and also at the hands of a corrupt
generation of the young." - Our Lady, May 28, 1983
THE APOCALYPSE
Veronica-I'm looking up, and
the sky's becoming very lighted. And I am seeing thousands and thousands of
people marching. But they look like Chinese, or Mongolian. No, they're-I believe
they're Chinese; they're Asiatic. They're marching across the land, and they're
boarding some kind of transport. They're going onto the water. Oh, it's a great
War. Oh! Oh!
Now Michael is coming over to the left side of the flagpole, and he's looking
down.
St. Michael-"My child, we have asked you to send the word to mankind that
they will read in the Book of life, the Bible, the words given to them that will
fulfill the prophecy of the latter days, Apocalypse. You are living the days of
the Revelations. Read them and be knowledgeable, and you will not be caught
without the light." - St. Michael,
June 8, 1974
RUSSIA PLANS ATTACK
"My child and My children, I
wish that you all keep a constant vigilance of prayer going throughout the
world, your country, the United States, and Canada. I warn you again that Russia
plans an attack upon the United States.
"You must remember, My children, when you accept the talkings and the words
of an atheist: there is no honor in the atheist. There is no truth in the
atheist. They will cajole you, and buy you, until you no longer are what is
called a 'free nation,' but you will be enslaved-if they do not kill the
multitudes before, My child. I say 'if,' because it is their plan to destroy
your nation and rebuild it by themselves. The cost of life means nothing to
them, as you can recognize in all of the countries around your world that have
been invaded by Russia, or Russia is the secret agent giving over the firearms
and the destructive missiles to destroy the United States and Canada." -
Our Lady, September 14, 1985
COSMETIC ACT TO DELUDE YOU
"I assure you, My children,
there is no freedom in Russia. It is all a delusion.
"They seek the monies of the world from
the nations of the world. And why do you not learn a lesson? It happened in the
time of Lenin; it happened in the time of Stalin. And there you are all on the
same road, ready to give billions of monies that should be given to those of
your nation and the free nations of the world.
"Do not be deceived, My children,
Russia is not free. It is a cosmetic act to delude you. Lenin and Stalin used
the same tactics, My children. Why do you not learn from your errors?" - Our
Lady, June 18, 1992
WORLD WAR III
"Day by day man is killing now.
Many countries shall be embroiled in wars, until we have the greatest war ever
seen, nor shall ever be seen again, the Third World War, which shall engulf the
nations. And many nations shall disappear from the force of the armaments being
gathered now throughout Russia.
"Yes, My child, no matter how the world reacts to the truth, you will shout
it from the rooftops that Russia has not accepted any overtures from Rome.
Unless Russia can be dedicated to the Immaculate Heart of Jesus and Mary, unless
they will recognize the truth, they will continue to go throughout the world
sowing seeds of discord, discontentment, and war. You know, My children, that
war is a punishment for man's sins, but also, war is an indication of the loss
of the knowledge of God." - Our Lady, August 21, 1985
"I MADE A PROMISE"
"When I came to Fatima many
years ago, I knew that communism would go throughout the world destroying many
nations and attacking My Son's Church. Therefore, I made a promise that if the
Pope, the Pope of those days and the Pope today, would unite with all the
bishops of the world, all together on one day-not the world-but the bishops and
the Pope will unite and pray for the consecration of Russia. I do not mean the
world, My children; I mean Russia-Russia, the scourge of mankind. You will pray
for Russia. One day must be allotted in which Pope John Paul II and also, all
the bishops of the world must unite on one day, I repeat, and pray for Russia;
or Russia will continue to be the scourge from God. Russia will continue to go
throughout the world annihilating people and places and countries." - Our Lady,
October 2, 1987
Directives from Heaven... http://www.tldm.org/directives/directives.htm
D10 - Consecrate Russia PDF
D57 - The Great WW III Chastisement (Part 1) PDF
D58 - The Great WW III Chastisement (Part 2) PDF
D59 - The Great WW III Chastisement (Part 3) PDF
D101 - Russia and China, Part 1 PDF
D102 - Russia and China, Part 2 PDF
D103 - Communism PDF
D104 - Invasion PDF
Articles…
Russian spying in the United States has reached the high-water mark of the Cold War
http://www.tldm.org/news7/RussianSpyingInAmerica.htmMasters of deceit
http://www.tldm.org/news2/masters_of_deceit.htmCommunism dead???
http://www.tldm.org/news3/dead.htmPlanned U.S. invasion through Mexico
http://www.tldm.org/news3/Nicaragua.htmVeronica's "landing points" vision: Is this the communist strategy for invading the United States?
http://www.tldm.org/news3/landing%5Fpoints.htmGlobal communism, part 1
http://www.tldm.org/news2/global-1.htmGlobal communism, part 2
http://www.tldm.org/news2/africa.htmRussia's master plan
http://www.tldm.org/news/master_plan.htmRussian spying in Britain back to Cold War levels
http://www.tldm.org/news7/RussianSpyingInBritain.htm
External Links…
U.S. urges Ukraine not to certify votes, Newsmax, November 24, 2004
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2004/11/23/201815.shtmlUkraine elections results to be announced, Fox News, November 24, 2004
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,139466,00.htmlUkrainian Leader Calls for Talks to Avert Violence, Fox News, November 23, 2004
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,139340,00.htmlUkraine protesters march on Parliament, My Way News, November 23, 2004
http://reuters.myway.com/article/20041123/2004-11-23T145322Z_01_N23508336_RTRIDST_0_NEWS-UKRAINE-DC.htmlRussia lashes out at the U.S., Newsmax, November 24, 2004
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2004/11/23/200352.shtml
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The sin of omission... "The sin of omission shall condemn many to hell, be they layman or Hierarchy. I repeat: not the sin of commission, but the sin of omission will commit many to hell." Our Lady of the Roses, October 6, 1980
We encourage everyone to print or email copies of this web page to all the Bishops and all the clergy. Also, email or send this web page to the news media and as many people as possible.
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